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Archive for September, 2015

What Singapore GE 2015 Has Unveiled? 新加坡大选2015 的启示 ~ 民以食为天


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以上为摘自马来西亚当地报章的评论。

总的来说,咖啡店老叟認为,這次的新加坡国会议席选举证明了一项事实:  以一个弹丸小红点的独立国来说,最终必须以安身立命,求存和安全感为先。其他的理想化追求(包括民主自由和什么第一世界国会等等)只能作为口头上的闲聊。
The above is a report from the Malaysian Chinese newspaper. Me the coffeeshop old folk would conclude the GE 2015 Singapore as the solid proof of Singaporeans’ preference for personal well-being, survival and sense of security. In fact, through this GE, whatever Singaporeans talking about democracy and diversified voices in parliament or first-world parliament remain not something serious enough to swing their votes to the oppositions.

小红点人们最优先考虑的是,the Little Red Dot people are most concerned with their priorities on the following,
~ 人人有工作。Everybody has a job.
~ 人人有花红。Everybody has good bonuses.
~ 新家庭有自己的房子,最好是公寓。New families have their own home and preferably condo.
~ 多数人有车子。majority can afford a car.
~ 每年可以出国旅游。every year goes on holidays.
~ 安全感。sense of security.

小红点人们最不能承受的是,Little Red Dot people are most afraid of,
~ 高失业率。high unemployment rates.
~ 经济烏云在头上盘旋不去。economic thunderstorm overhead.
~ 年青人上不了大学。young people cannot move on to get a university degree.
~ 老来不夠公积金养老。not enough CPF money for retirement.
~ 外来人口来搶去好工作。foreign workers/talents here robbing away Singaporeans’ chance of getting a good (well paid) job.

小红点人们半懂不懂的是,But most people still don’t quite understand this,
~ 为什么生产力讲了那么多年还是上不去? Why the Red Dot had been talking about Productivity for years and it doesn’t materialize?
~ 为什么人家纽约,London, 和东京的地铁比新加坡的还古早及更大线路,却不会三天两头大停顿? How come places like New York, London and Tokyo have been running their mass transit trains system for long long years and they don’t breakdown every now and then?
~ 为什么只能有建国一代而没有”下一代”? (不是说 A nation in progress 的吗?) Why only stick to the Pioneer Generation once and for all, without a scheme that can reward and honor future batches/generations for continuous nation building? (Isn’t it someone important said that before, that Singapore is a nation in progress?)
~ 为什么现在不再清楚解释要把人口数量定在六百九十万和如何达到最佳的经济与基础设施发展的平衡状态? (只要能十分明确的说出好处和发表总藍圖,不怕没人支持).
Why not come forward to clearly explain the “magic figure” of 6.9m population target (or guideline) and not left it in the air for more guessing and resentment? With precise and clear illustration of the scheme’s benefits to Singaporeans and the nation’s future, coupled with a clear blueprint of the scheme on how to make it happen through stages and balanced measures/policies, focusing on job opportunities, infrastructure developments and comfort living; it should be no less in support for the vision. The issue lies in can it be the common vision embraced by Singaporeans? There should be credible (solid) plans (or at least a clear blueprint) that can be put open for serious public discussion (or even a referendum?), instead of confining the process to a few.

最后,这次的选举结果 = 十分合理。
Finally, the GE 2015 results = highly logical outcome.

还有一点誏咖啡店老叟不解的是,
为什么大选过后,总是听到和读到所谓的”很多新加坡人很后悔不已”的鳥话?!
However, there’s one thing that coffeeshop old folk still doesn’t quite get it, why there’s still loose talks on “many Singaporeans are expressing that, they are very upset and disappointed by the results of GE 2015”?!
Little Red Dot people, what’s wrong with you?!

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GE 2015 Singapore ~ Emergence of Smart Voters


By:  Roadside Observer

On 11th September 2015, Singaporeans went for the most significant polling in post Lee Kuan Yew (the republic’s founder) era.

Contrary to popular speculations, this time around the ruling party People’s Action Party (PAP) won landslide majority votes. Oppositions were sidelined on all fronts! The swing of votes seemed to be a nation-wide phenomenon.

Immediately after the polling results were concluded, many started to sound off their sentiments. Even the experts were dumbfounded.
Some believe that it was becos of huge support the oppositions were gaining during the 9 days campaigning period, and hence Singaporeans were so panic about a freak outcome might take place to cause the current government (PAP) to be dethroned. Therefore many of them changed their mind at last minute, swinging their votes to the ruling party. Does this make sense?

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In reality, this theory of last minute change of mind is a wild card scenario. But it is not credible.

There are two most plausible factors that contributed to the landslide win for PAP on this General Election (GE),

(1) majority of Singaporeans on the street and job market have realized the regional gloomy economic situation and the possible impact on Singapore. As usual, large number of young families and middle income groups decided to place their bet (for the next 5 years) on the old and experienced Ship Captain to navigate the potential perfect storm heading their way. They believe only the party with the resources and policies could save the day or at least reduce the pain. This has become the general consensus during the poll.

(2) Sentimental factor. The SG50 pride and joy celebration with the government still vivid as well as tribute to the late Lee Kuan Yew sentiment also played a part. Coupled with drastic U-turn of some policies the last three years.

And therefore, desire for more diversified voices in parliament no longer an urgent matter! That can wait. (Sorry oppositions, Singaporeans don’t need you now for the time being). The election results seemed to have nothing to do with party manifesto at this juncture. In itself it demonstrated a group-think mentality of Singaporean voters. Majority just wanted a safe bet for the next five years, in order to weather the economic thunderstorm and regional uncertainty.

So, the surprising polling results has nothing to do with what the oppositions and ruling party had said and done during the campaigning period nor the town counsel issues. It is just that majority of Singaporeans are now very realistic in making their bargains in times of General Election.
For this few years, it is a safer bet to let the experienced captain take full control of the cruise ship. ie. Giving the ship captain a mandate.
Remember what Bill Clinton had said: “It’s economy, stupid!”

Going forward, if the people are not happy with some major policy changes, huge number of votes can still swing back to the other side.
Apparently this is the real New Normal that the ruling party should take note.

For oppositions, don’t need to dig in too hard to find the answers for this GE 2015. Simply put, it is the wrong timing for your battle of more diversified voices in the parliament!  There’s a Chinese saying: 非战之罪. ie. Is not your fault in battle.

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Question:  Does it mean that the voters becoming smarter these day and gaining more bargaining power?

One interesting point to note, many of them stayed through till 4am in the morning just to get the real time news about the fate of Aljunied constituency. And apparently many were afraid that the opposition might lose it to the ruling party. Why?
(It should be clear that many voters still want credible opposition(s) to be around and not been weakened too much… ).

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